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December 2008 - Posts

Big Motor is sick. Maybe even dying. In Detroit yesterday, a pastor led a prayer for the US car industry’s soul – but of course divine intervention is rather less likely than a fat handout from the American tax payer. It looks as if the Bush administration has agreed to open its wallet to the tune of $15 billion, in the form of an ‘emergency loan’; it’s thought that might tide them over for the next month or two before they come begging again. In Europe things aren’t much better: Vauxhall has been nagging Peter Mandelson for a handout, no doubt claiming it is as vital to the national interest as the banks.

The fact that the global industry has dinosaur tendencies was rammed home to me when I visited my first major motor show earlier this year, an annual bonanza in Geneva in a cavernous hall next to the airport. What took me completely by surprise was the first thing that greets you when you enter the arena: large numbers of young women in bikinis draped across the bonnets of the product, all doing their best to produce cheesy smiles for the hordes of snappers – both amateurs and professionals – who like a bit of female flesh with their rorty metal. I’m no ball-breaking feminist, but I really believed this sort had thing had died out with the brontosaurus. It kind of summed up an industry that really could do with a maturity injection.

One of the key reasons that the US car industry is in such a mess is that it produces astonishingly poor product. It is almost entirely reliant on its home market, which is flat on its back as loans are no longer available for buying new sets of wheels. If anyone over here, or indeed anywhere in Europe, buys an American car, you’d think they are either mad or they’ve got it in for the planet. It is a negligent, complacent and thoroughly badly-managed industry. Despite their poor productivity, American car workers still get better packages than David Beckham’s lunch box on a GQ shoot. I met Rick Wagoner (the boss of GM) a couple of years ago, and he freely admitted his company was being throttled by the legacy healthcare costs of his retired workforce. If that was what was keeping him awake at night, rather than the fact that the Hummer might not be the global way forward for the heirs of the internal combustion engine, then no wonder he’s on the way out.

There’s no reason whatsoever why UK-based motor manufacturers should be given government assistance rather than, for example, whelk stall proprietors or even media organisations who are all feeling the pinch due to a lack of ads. In fact I think I should lead a delegation to visit Mr Mandelson – consisting of me, Michael Grade, Richard Desmond, the editor of Hello! and Rupert Murdoch – to ask him for a non-repayable loan. God knows the media has never failed to be kind to Mandy in the past...


In today's bulletin:
Sony cuts 8,000 jobs - but Wii consoles Nintendo
More high street woe as retail sales plunge again
Editor's Blog: Big trouble for Big Motor
Estate agents face up to new OFT competition probe
Entrepreneurs shy away from Christmas networking

So down we go by one per cent. Zero is now just a matter of months away. Free money – hurrah.

I promise I’ll never write about mortgages again, but... Thanks to an amazing deal for which my IFA – who believe it or not goes by the name of Colin Powell – signed me up, I’m on base rate plus 0.23%. And it’s neither capped not collared, i.e. it can go right down to the bottom and my monthly repayments will keep falling.

I’m not wishing to sound smug, but I can't be the only one who has a few more readies at the moment. Those of us who are fortunate enough still to be in jobs actually have more disposable income in our pockets than a year ago. Petrol is falling in price rapidly, so is food (I only wish childcare costs would head south, but they never ever will).

Yet we’re still in economic freefall because people aren’t spending. It is odd. But it’s all down to confidence: I know we need a new TV, and it would be nice to have one before Christmas, but my new austerity-style hairshirt is telling me to make the old one last a bit longer. This recession may be real, but it’s also very profoundly in the mind. We have a very bad case of The Glums.

One of my trickier assigments this week has been to appear on BBC Breakfast TV advising viewers on how to avoid the chop when the jobs axe comes round at work. I think I did OK, but to be honest I was a bit stumped. Short of making yourself utterly indispensable and not throwing up over the MD at the Christmas party, it’s pretty much out of most people’s hands.

What’s so grim is that there’s very little most individuals can do in the short term to avoid getting the Spanish Archer (El Bow). The grim reaper tends to slash away with little discrimination, and far too often companies do it in such a ham-fisted way that they wind up losing the best individuals and retaining the dross. Then, when the upturn comes - which it will - they spend a fortune on employment agencies and headhunters getting some decent people back in through the door again. Crazy late-stage capitalism, isn’t it?


In today's bulletin:

Bank slashes rates by another 1%
Morrisons trounces Tesco with 8% sales hike
House prices plunge nearly 3% in November
Editor's blog: Heading for zero
Denise Kingsmill: the end for alpha males?

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